{"id":1765,"date":"2024-11-04T16:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-04T20:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/?p=1765"},"modified":"2024-11-11T17:57:13","modified_gmt":"2024-11-11T21:57:13","slug":"our-election-estimate-favors-optimistic-back-to-the-future-coalition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/our-election-estimate-favors-optimistic-back-to-the-future-coalition\/","title":{"rendered":"Our Election Estimate Favors Optimistic &#8220;Back to the Future&#8221; Coalition"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"914\" src=\"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/466c6faf-4c34-4fd1-afc1-cf6666d9c2f7_1290x1151-1024x914.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1766\" srcset=\"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/466c6faf-4c34-4fd1-afc1-cf6666d9c2f7_1290x1151-1024x914.webp 1024w, https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/466c6faf-4c34-4fd1-afc1-cf6666d9c2f7_1290x1151-300x268.webp 300w, https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/466c6faf-4c34-4fd1-afc1-cf6666d9c2f7_1290x1151-768x685.webp 768w, https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/466c6faf-4c34-4fd1-afc1-cf6666d9c2f7_1290x1151.webp 1290w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Since our last item \u2013&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/IfTwins\">If Trump Wins<\/a><\/strong>&nbsp;\u2013 the election betting markets have narrowed, though Trump still retains a lead of 59.3% on Polymarket. The final RealClearPolitics&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/trump-vs-harris\">average of national polls<\/a>&nbsp;landed improbably as an exact&nbsp;<strong>TIE<\/strong>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our best guess shows\u00a0<strong>312<\/strong> electoral votes for Trump and\u00a0<strong>226<\/strong>\u00a0for Harris.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are the most important factors we\u2019re looking at going into Election Day. <em><a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/24EEBtF\">continue reading&#8230;<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since our last item \u2013&nbsp;If Trump Wins&nbsp;\u2013 the election betting markets have narrowed, though Trump still retains a lead of 59.3% on Polymarket. The final RealClearPolitics&nbsp;average of national polls&nbsp;landed improbably as an exact&nbsp;TIE.&nbsp; Our best guess shows\u00a0312 electoral votes for Trump and\u00a0226\u00a0for Harris.\u00a0 Here are the most important factors we\u2019re looking at going into Election Day. continue reading&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tech-note","no-post-thumbnail"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1765"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1765\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1767,"href":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1765\/revisions\/1767"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/entropyeconomics.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}