Our Election Estimate Favors Optimistic “Back to the Future” Coalition
Since our last item – If Trump Wins – the election betting markets have narrowed, though Trump still retains a lead of 59.3% on Polymarket. The final RealClearPolitics average of national polls landed improbably as an exact TIE. Our best guess shows 312 electoral votes for Trump and 226 for Harris. Here are the most important factors we’re looking at going into Election Day. continue reading…
